topb.in

The market’s captain

Gameweek 38 · deadline Sun 24 May, 14:30

Preview: the 2026/27 game hasn’t opened yet, so these are last season’s final-day fixtures with last season’s squads. Real fixtures replace them the moment FPL relaunches.

or enter them by hand below
fixturehomedrawawayover 2.5under 2.5fitted
BHA v MUN
BUR v WOL
CRY v ARS
FUL v NEW
LIV v BRE
MCI v AVL
NFO v BOU
TOT v EVE
SUN v CHE
WHU v LEE

Enter this week’s match prices above. The table fills in fixture by fixture as each set reconciles.

The match layer is the market: prices de-vigged and fitted to a Dixon-Coles goal model. The player layer is FPL history: shares of squad xG and xA, minutes, and defensive work — the soft part, especially in August. Bonus and cards are not modelled. Goalkeepers are left off the captain list. This re-expresses what the market already thinks; it is a reading, not a tip. How the method works.