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FPL defensive contributions (DEFCON) tracker

Defenders earn 2 points for 10 combined clearances, blocks, interceptions and tackles in a match; midfielders and forwards need 12, with ball recoveries counting too. Most trackers tell you who has hit the threshold. This one also tells you who is likely to— a forecast from each player’s defensive work-rate and minutes, computed before the gameweek starts. During matches, the live count column fills in as the actions happen.

Gameweek 1 · 120 players with a realistic chance
PlayerTeamPosPer 90NeedsHit chanceSeason
AndersonMCIMID13.91270%0
SenesiTOTDEF11.51066%0
GarnerEVEMID12.11254%0
TarkowskiEVEDEF10.21053%0
LacroixCRYDEF10.81051%0
VirgilLIVDEF9.31045%0
AmpaduLEEMID12.01241%0
Van HeckeTOTDEF8.91033%0
GomesAVLMID12.31232%0
ScottBOUMID12.21232%0
AldereteSUNDEF10.01031%0
CollinsBREDEF9.71030%0
RichardsCRYDEF9.91029%0
MilenkovićNFODEF8.31029%0
RiceARSMID10.91229%0
KeaneEVEDEF10.51028%0
TruffertBOUDEF8.01027%0
FernandesTOTMID11.01227%0
CaicedoCHEMID11.81226%0
StruijkBHADEF9.11026%0
ThiawNEWDEF8.91024%0
XhakaSUNMID11.21224%0
GuéhiMCIDEF7.91020%0
RodonLEEDEF8.41019%0
MukieleSUNDEF8.81019%0
SzoboszlaiLIVMID9.41219%0
YarmoliukBREMID11.51219%0
GabrielARSDEF9.11019%0
WiefferBHADEF12.71018%0
Van den BergBREDEF8.91017%0
ChalobahCHEDEF8.61017%0
BallardSUNDEF11.11016%0
E.Le FéeSUNMID9.81214%0
N.WilliamsNFODEF6.91012%0
HillBOUDEF11.11012%0
ZubimendiARSMID9.21212%0
MitchellCRYDEF6.81012%0
GravenberchLIVMID9.01210%0
O'BrienEVEDEF6.7109%0
MykolenkoEVEDEF7.0109%0
DunkBHADEF7.3108%0
B.FernandesMUNMID8.4128%0
BurnNEWDEF9.2108%0
ShawMUNDEF6.3108%0
NdiayeEVEMID9.2128%0
BergeFULMID8.7127%0
BijolLEEDEF10.4107%0
BentancurTOTMID13.3127%0
KayodeBREDEF6.0107%0
Pedro PorroTOTDEF7.0107%0
BotmanNEWDEF10.6106%0
SessegnonFULDEF10.8106%0
Van de VenTOTDEF6.3106%0
SangaréNFOMID11.6125%0
StachLEEMID10.1125%0
BasseyFULDEF7.3105%0
HumeSUNDEF6.0105%0
TonaliTOTMID9.1124%0
RomeroTOTDEF9.5104%0
KonsaAVLDEF5.8104%0
MuñozCRYDEF7.3104%0
TavernierBOUMID8.3124%0
Matheus N.MCIDEF6.1104%0
Bruno G.NEWMID9.2124%0
SadikiSUNMID7.7123%0
DansoTOTDEF11.6103%0
AjerBREDEF9.6103%0
EnzoCHEMID7.1123%0
DamsgaardBREMID10.6123%0
CashAVLDEF5.5103%0
GomezBHAMID10.1123%0
GudmundssonLEEDEF6.3103%0
JustinLEEDEF8.7103%0
SemenyoMCIMID6.6123%0
DalotMUNDEF6.2102%0
AdamsBOUMID11.8122%0
AnthonyBREMID7.7122%0
BogleLEEDEF5.7102%0
RogersCHEMID6.3122%0
Dewsbury-HallEVEMID7.9122%0
Mac AllisterLIVMID7.8122%0
WhartonCRYMID10.7122%0
BidwellCOVDEF8.0102%0
MeunierSUNDEF8.0102%0
EganHULDEF8.0102%0
AjayiHULDEF8.0102%0
McNairHULDEF8.0102%0
DasilvaCOVDEF8.0102%0
FurlongIPSDEF8.0102%0
KipréIPSDEF8.0102%0
CoyleHULDEF8.0102%0
LatibeaudiereCOVDEF8.0102%0
O.RichardsNFODEF8.0102%0
TsimikasLIVDEF8.0102%0
O'SheaIPSDEF8.0102%0
WoolfendenCOVDEF8.0102%0
JohnsonIPSDEF8.0102%0
GilesHULDEF8.0102%0
MinguezaCRYDEF8.0102%0
DramehHULDEF8.0102%0
KitchingCOVDEF8.0102%0
J.AraujoBOUDEF8.0102%0
JacobHULDEF8.0102%0
GreavesIPSDEF8.0102%0
van EwijkCOVDEF8.0102%0
CostinhaBHADEF8.0102%0
SvobodaBHADEF8.0102%0
DavisIPSDEF8.0102%0
ThomasCOVDEF8.0102%0
Kesler-HaydenCOVDEF8.0102%0
HjeldeSUNDEF8.0102%0
RamsayLIVDEF8.0102%0
AznouEVEDEF8.0102%0
HughesHULDEF8.0102%0
SchusterBREDEF8.0102%0
LuckyLIVDEF8.0102%0
MuharemovićLEEDEF8.0102%0
BindonNFODEF8.0102%0
AmendaCOVDEF8.0102%0
PhillipsTOTDEF8.0102%0

“Hit chance” is this gameweek’s probability of reaching the threshold, worth 2 points. The live column appears while matches are being played.

Where the forecast comes from

The chance of hitting the threshold is modelled from a player’s defensive actions per 90 — blended across this season and last — and their expected minutes. It is the same defensive-contribution term used inside the captain projection, so the two pages always agree. One honest note: unlike the rest of this site, this forecast comes from start-rates and player data, not from match prices — the market does not price tackles.

Related: what fixture difficulty really measures · why the market beats form